Case Study: The Real Tax System
John and Jane are married and will be filing jointly. They are both over 65 years old. They have $50,000 in combined Social Security assets, $15,000 of net long-term capital gains, and $25,000 in IRA distributions.
Here's the Tax Map that this information would generate:
Covisum's Tax Map displays the effective marginal tax rate on the next dollar of ordinary income. Notice the gray and red sections. Red represents regular tax brackets. Gray represents the effective marginal rate — how much of your last dollar did you actually lose to federal income tax.
Over time, when government has needed new tax revenues, the method has not been to change rates or brackets evenly across all taxpayers. Instead, it has been to introduce phase-outs of deductions or exemptions, or begin to include income that was previously not taxable, like Social Security Benefits — nontaxable income becomes taxable. The result is a tax system in which the most important number isn’t necessarily the tax bracket you land in, but instead is the effective marginal rate.
As you can see on the Tax Map above, there's a spike at $40,000. How did that 55.5% spike appear?
What is actually happening is the client is being taxed on the IRA distribution, which causes a snowball effect — a portion of their Social Security benefits becomes taxable and long-term capital gains are being pushed out of the 0% tax bracket and into the 15% bracket.
Intuitively, one would expect that by adding $1,000 of additional income from an IRA withdrawal would mean that $150 of income would be taxable. However, here’s what actually happens:
|$1,000 additional IRA withdrawal||15% Bracket||$150|
|Causes $850 taxable Social Security||15% Bracket||$127.50|
|Causes $1,850 capital gains to be taxable||15% Bracket||$277.50|
|Total additional tax burden on $1,000 withdrawal:||$550|
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